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Why has government been instituted at all? ​Because the passions of men will not conform to the dictates of reason and justice, without constraint.
                    ~ ​Alexander Hamilton









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Photo by Andrew Horne

Minority House Intelligence Memo Reveals That 5 Members of Trump Campaign Were Under FBI Investigation in September 2016

2/24/2018

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A memo written by the Democratic minority of the House Intelligence Committee, released Saturday with the approval of the FBI and Department of Justice, disputes the narrative put forth in the memo released February 2 by the supposedly-recused Republican chairman of the committee, Representative Devin Nunes.

The rebuttal memo primarily deals with the Federal Intelligence Surveillance Act warrant and two extensions that the Department of Justice obtained on Carter Page, foreign policy advisor to the Trump campaign. The Nunes memo asserted that the FBI and Department of Justice improperly obtained the FISA warrant by using information contained in the report of a British citizen working for an American company hired by individuals politically aligned with Hillary Clinton.

Page was already known to investigators before he joined the Trump campaign, due to several instances of Russian operatives attempting to recruit Page to spy for the Russian government.

An important passage in the rebuttal memo explains that by September 2016,

“... the FBI had already opened sub-inquiries into [redacted] individuals linked to the Trump campaign: [redacted] and former campaign foreign policy advisor Carter Page. As Committee testimony bears out, the FBI would have continued its investigation, including against [redacted] individuals, even if it had never received information from Steele, never applied for a FISA warrant against Page, or if the FISC had rejected the application.”

Footnote 7 in the memo reveals what is likely the list of Trump campaign officials who were, as of September 2016, under investigation by the FBI. mo makes clear that five members of the Trump campaign were under investigation by the FBI for being probable agents of the Russian government:
  • Foreign Policy advisor Carter Page
  • Campaign advisor Michael Flynn, who was considered as a vice presidential running mate, then became National Security Advisor briefly, before resigning or being fired in February 2017
  • Foreign policy advisory panel member George Papadopoulos
  • Campaign manager Paul Manafort
  • Deputy campaign manager Rick Gates.


To understand how this information fits into the picture of what we now know about the Trump campaign and possible interference by Russia in the election, it is necessary to go back to the confusing months around the 2016 election and look at the timeline.
  • July 5, 2016: FBI Director James Comey held a press conference at which he announced that the investigation into Hillary Clinton was closed and they would not press charges. In Comey’s words: “I am going to include more detail about our process than I ordinarily would, because I think the American people deserve those details in a case of intense public interest.”
  • September 2016: Five high-level members of the Trump campaign were under investigation by the FBI for being possible Russian agents.
  • October 28, 2016: FBI Director James Comey sent a letter to Congressional committee head stating that the investigation into Hillary Clinton’s misuse of a private email server was reopened  less than two weeks before the election. The FBI had found Clinton emails on a laptop computer involved in the criminal investigation into Anthony Weiner, husband of Clinton’s aide.
 
  • Also October 28, 2016: Rep. Jason Chaffetz, head of the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, sends a message on Twitter announcing the reopening of the investigation:

“FBI Dir just informed me, ‘The FBI has learned of the existence of emails that appear to be pertinent to the investigation.’ Case reopened”

The Comey letter was released on Twitter 19 minutes later by Fox News analyst Brit Hume.
  • October 31, 2016: The New York Times published an article by Eric Lichtblau and Steven Lee Myers entitled, “Investigating Donald Trump, F.B.I. Sees No Clear Link to Russia.” That article describes some of the frustration of Democrats like Senator Harry Reid, who expressed his concern to the FBI in a letter released the day before the article was published:
 
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“It has become clear that you possess explosive information about close ties and coordination between Donald Trump, his top advisers, and the Russian government — a foreign interest openly hostile to the United States, which Trump praises at every opportunity. The public has a right to know this information.”
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  • Also October 31, 2016: The day that article appeared, an article by David Corn was published in Mother Jones that should have gotten more attention, but was overshadowed by the Times article. This article was titled, “A Veteran Spy Has Given the FBI Information Alleging a Russian Operation to Cultivate Donald Trump.” (This information was compiled into what has become known as the Steele Dossier.)

Clearly, there was evidence in October 2016 that the Trump campaign needed to be investigated, and was in fact under investigation.
  • November 6, 2016: The reopened investigation into Clinton’s emails is closed two days before the election.
  • November 8, 2016: Donald Trump wins the presidency by securing more electoral votes than Hillary Clinton.

I have some questions:

Why did the FBI tell the American people about the Clinton investigation, but not about the investigation into high-level Trump campaign officials?


Why did the FBI find Clinton emails, which turned out to be copies of emails the FBI had already seen, end up on Anthony Weiner’s laptop?

Why did Jason Chaffetz announce on Twitter that the investigation into Clinton was reopened?

​Where did Brit Hume get the letter to Congressional members?

The minority memo from the House Intelligence Committee can be read here.

https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/4387022/Democrats-memo-rebutting-Republican-claims-of.pdf


The letter sent to Congressional committee heads announcing the reopening of the Clinton investigation can be seen here.
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The New York Times article from October 31, 2016 can be found here.
https://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/01/us/politics/fbi-russia-election-donald-trump.html

The Mother Jones article from the same day can be found here.

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2016/10/veteran-spy-gave-fbi-info-alleging-russian-operation-cultivate-donald-trump/

The announcement of the FBI closing the Clinton investigation July 5, 2016 can be found here.
https://www.fbi.gov/news/pressrel/press-releases/statement-by-fbi-director-james-b-comey-on-the-investigation-of-secretary-hillary-clinton2019s-use-of-a-personal-e-mail-system​
Note: Thanks to former CIA officer Ned Price for pointing out the information contained in Footnote 7.
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Things to Notice About the Indictment of 13 Russians and 3 Russian Companies

2/20/2018

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​Special counsel Robert Mueller’s team on Friday released an indictment alleging that 13 Russians and three Russian organizations participated in a conspiracy to interfere in the 2016 presidential election.

This list contains a combination of points from articles in The Hill and BBC. Links to the articles can be found below.


1. This was a broad, well-organized effort.

Beginning as early as 2014, the defendants began to track and study U.S. social media sites related to politics and social issues. They used false personas to contact U.S. persons, and to pay them using accounts created through identity theft to conceal the origin of the payments. They controlled hundreds of social media accounts created under false pretenses. (One account impersonated the Tennessee GOP on Twitter.)

2. Defendants allegedly communicated with Trump campaign members.

The indictment states that these campaign members were unwitting participants in the conspiracy.

3. Suppressing votes for Clinton was an important part of the operation.

The indictment asserts that the aim of the conspiracy was to promote presidential candidates Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders, and to disparage Hillary Clinton, Marco Rubio, and Ted Cruz.

4. Defendants took steps to cover their tracks.

Multiple false personas, fake accounts, and shell companies were created to conceal the origin of money and information. The creation of these accounts involved identity theft, mail fraud, and wire fraud.

5. The indictment describes serious crimes - visa fraud, identity theft, wire fraud, bank fraud.

In addition to Friday’s indictment, an indictment against an American citizen, Richard Pinedo, was unsealed Friday. Pinedo has pleaded guilty to selling personal information stolen from U.S. persons to the defendants.

6. There were real people paid by the defendants to organize rallies, build props, and wear costumes at multiple events in multiple states.

At least one person was paid to build a cage for use at a rally, and another was paid to dress up as Hillary Clinton in a prison uniform and stand in the cage.

7. This operation did not end on election day.

After the election, persona accounts continued on social media to sow discord among U.S. persons regarding the election and presidency of Donald Trump.

There is credible evidence that Russia-controlled personas were involved, this past weekend, in promoting discord among Americans regarding gun violence, in the wake of the mass shooting in Parkland, Florida.

Rod Rosenstein, deputy director of the FBI, presented the indictment in a press conference Friday. The press conference can be seen here.
https://www.c-span.org/video/?441317-1/deputy-attorney-general-rod-rosenstein-announces-indictment-russian-nationals

The Hill article can be found here.
http://thehill.com/policy/national-security/374305-five-things-to-know-about-the-russian-indictments

MSNBC contributor Matt Miller, a former Justice Department spokesman, told Mike Allen of Axios: "Friday’s indictment established the legal architecture for possible future charges. Once you’ve established there was a conspiracy, you can charge anyone who was aware of the conspiracy and took an overt action to further it."

The Axios article can be found here.
https://www.axios.com/mueller-investigation-russia-facebook-future-7ab6695e-0012-4af5-99a3-d55c665b7796.html

The BBC article can be found here.
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-43093260


The indictment can be found here.
https://www.justice.gov/file/1035477/download


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The Strange Case of #NeverHillary: Why Did Michael Flynn Push Russian Propaganda at the RNC?

2/19/2018

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OPINION
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The Republican National Convention, held July 18 to 21, 2016 in Cleveland, Ohio, was a spectacle. On display was over-the-top partisan behavior that was shocking in its brazenness and intensity.

One thing stood out for me as I watched in horror 19 months ago: Michael Flynn, retired U.S. Army general criticized Hillary Clinton, suggested that she should resign from the campaign, accused her of unspecified crimes, and whipped the crowd into a frenzy chanting, “Lock Her Up.” That was all stunning to observe; the part that stood out for me, however, was this line:


“I use hashtag Never Hillary,” Flynn, 58 years old at the time, said.

Why would Trump supporters want to know what hashtag Flynn used? Why was Flynn using a hashtag? What did this mean?

I know a lot more now than I knew at the time about how social media can be used to push propaganda. 
The indictment released Friday in the special counsel’s investigation into Russian interference in the presidential campaign may provide an answer to the questions that have haunted me since that disturbing day in 2016.

On page 20 of the indictment, a table provides information about political advertising bought by the defendants, Russian nationals, who used “fictitious U.S. personas created and used by the ORGANIZATION on social media.” (from page 19) An advertisement was purchased June 30, 2016, with this content:

"#NeverHillary #HillaryforPrison #Hillary4Prison #HillaryforPrison2016 #Trump2016 #Trump #Trump4President”


An ad was purchased by at least one persona account created in Saint Petersburg, and three weeks later Michael Flynn pushed the hashtag out at the Republican National Convention.

Why might he have done this?

At the time I heard him say it, I wondered how many Trump supporters were following Flynn on Twitter or Facebook. Maybe, I thought, the Trump campaign and the GOP had harnessed the power of social media and turned angry white voters in the Midwest and coal country into tech-savvy influencers. Somehow, that did not seem reasonable to me. (That is the story Brad Parscale and Jared Kushner, self-styled data geniuses of the Trump campaign, told to numerous reporters in the months after their team's surprise win.)

There is another reason to signal the use of a hashtag from the podium of a worldwide-televised event. When Flynn announced that hashtag, he may have been signalling cells of paid troll warriors, in Russia, the U.S., and other places, to head to that hashtag to connect with newly created propaganda - memes, ads, and talking points - to push in the coming days and weeks.

I did a search to see what kind of content was attached to this hashtag when Flynn promoted it at the RNC. Any content that has since been deleted would not show up in an advanced search, but the content I did find was very interesting. I cannot definitively say that all the content was created by paid professionals working on the Russian operation, but it looks like much of it may have been.

It is important to note that the memes created were designed to appeal to potential voters who did not want to vote Clinton. The Russian information war was “primarily intended to communicate derogatory information about Hillary Clinton, to denigrate other candidates such as Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, and to support Bernie Sanders and then-candidate Donald Trump.” (from page 17 of the indictment).

Alternatives to Clinton - Bernie Sanders, Jill Stein, and Gary Johnson -were  pushed hard in July of 2016, using hashtags #BernieorBust, #DemExit, and #NeverTrump.

The #GameofThrones hashtag is used, possibly to bring in people who were fans of the television show who might not otherwise be interested. One post uses the hashtag #Milo in combination with #NeverHillary. Another post links to Prison Planet, sending interested content-pushers to wingnut conspiracists Alex Jones, Paul Joseph Watson, and InfoWars. This would help the paid trolls, Russian and American, find the content Flynn (or those directing him) wanted them to push.

Did Michael Flynn knowingly push a hashtag created under fraudulent circumstances in a U.S. election, which would be a violation of federal election law? I don’t know, but I would bet that the special counsel’s team does.

Flynn referring to the Russian-created hashtag occurs 56 seconds into this video from the Republican National Convention.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tx94428MYcc

A link to the 37-page indictment of 13 Russian nationals and three Russian companies (with numerous shell companies created to hide fraudulent personas and ad buys) can be found here.
https://www.justice.gov/file/1035477/download

An article in USA Today from August 2016 highlighted some of the issues involved when retired military leaders speak out politically. In the article former Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Martin Dempsey, a four-star Army general, explains that running for office, like Dwight Eisenhower did after a military career, is different from advocating for a particular side in a political contest:

"'If they choose to run themselves, they become accountable to voters,' he wrote in Defense One, a website that focuses on defense and national security trends. 'In simply advocating — or giving speeches — they are not.'"

Not accountable to American voters, but perhaps accountable to his handlers in the Kremlin?

The USA Today article can be found here.
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2016/08/04/retired-generals-partisan-politics/88009492/


Michael Flynn pleaded guilty on December 1, 2017 to lying to the FBI about his contacts with Russian officials. A detailed timeline of his actions related to his plea can be found here.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fact-checker/wp/2017/12/01/michael-flynns-guilty-plea-a-comprehensive-timeline/?utm_term=.f172c076717b

​A selection of available content from Twitter using the hashtag #NeverHillary during the period of the Republican National Convention is included below.

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Note the nonstandard plural spelling - "commys" instead of "commies" - that may be a sign of foreign-created content. Also, this may be an early use of the word "libtard." which was popular among harassing trolls during and after the campaign.
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This meme accuses Clinton of wanting to build a wall. This may be an example of a paid content creator who got the messages mixed up.
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#FreeMilo - perhaps mixing up Julian Assange, currently hiding out in the Ecuadorian Embassy in London to avoid charges, with Milo Yiannopoulos, alt-right provocateur?
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Criticism of Clinton's hair has been a theme of critics since the 1990s.
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The anti-fracking message is designed to appeal to left-leaning voters and encourage them to vote against Clinton. They would never be swayed to vote for Trump, but convincing people to vote for Sanders, Johnson, or Stein, or to simply stay home, became a very common theme by November.
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Intelligence Chiefs Warn That Russian Interference Is Ongoing and Will Get Worse

2/13/2018

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Photo: ​Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images
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Top intelligence officials in the U.S. testified before the Senate Intelligence Committee today at the annual hearing on worldwide threats. They unanimously expressed confidence in the Intelligence Community report from January 2017. That report stated the following:

“We assess Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered an influence campaign in 2016 aimed at the US presidential election. Russia’s goals were to undermine public faith in the US democratic process, denigrate Secretary Clinton, and harm her electability and potential presidency. We further assess Putin and the Russian Government developed a clear preference for President-elect Trump. We have high confidence in these judgments.”

Today, Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats warned that the Russian government considers their interference in the 2016 election to have been well worth the trouble, and that Americans should expect interference in the 2018 elections as well.

In his Statement for the Record, Director Coats stated:

“Influence operations, especially through cyber means, will remain a significant threat to US interests as they are low-cost, relatively low-risk, and deniable ways to retaliate against adversaries, to shape foreign perceptions, and to influence populations. Russia probably will be the most capable and aggressive source of this threat in 2018, although many countries and some nonstate actors are exploring ways to use influence operations, both domestically and abroad.

“We assess that the Russian intelligence services will continue their efforts to disseminate false information via Russian state-controlled media and covert online personas about US activities to encourage anti-US political views. Moscow seeks to create wedges that reduce trust and confidence in democratic processes, degrade democratization efforts, weaken US partnerships with European allies, undermine Western sanctions, encourage anti-US political views, and counter efforts to bring Ukraine and other former Soviet states into European institutions.  

  • Foreign elections are critical inflection points that offer opportunities for Russia to advance its interests both overtly and covertly. The 2018 US mid-term elections are a potential target for Russian influence operations.  
  • At a minimum, we expect Russia to continue using propaganda, social media, false-flag personas, sympathetic spokespeople, and other means of influence to try to exacerbate social and political fissures in the United States.”

The hearing included CIA Director Mike Pompeo, FBI Director Christopher Wray, National Security Agency Director Adm. Mike Rogers, Defense Intelligence Agency head Lieutenant General Robert Ashley, and head of the  National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency Robert Cardillo.
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An article from National Public Radio summarized the hearing.

A link to the recording of the hearing can be found below.
https://www.intelligence.senate.gov/hearings/open-hearing-worldwide-threats-hearing-1

The opening Statement for the Record of Director Coats can be read below.

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Representative Devin Nunes and his Loyalty to Indicted Former National Security Advisor Michael Flynn

2/11/2018

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Photo source: ​Raw Story
Representative Devin Nunes, chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, has been recused from the investigation into Russian meddling in the 2016 election and interactions between the Trump campaign and the Russian government. Nevertheless, he seems to have inserted himself several times into the Trump White House attempt to interfere in the Congressional investigation.

An article in Newsweek, released today, may explain some of his behavior. Nunes seems to have developed an admiration for Flynn. In a December, 2016 interview with the author of the article, Jeff Stein, Nunes expressed his admiration for the general:
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“This guy was one of the best intelligence officers in several generations … I don't know if you've ever met him, but Flynn is extremely smart. He really is top notch.”

The Newsweek article can be found here.
www.newsweek.com/nunes-memo-trump-russia-probe-flynn-mueller-page-fbi-802710

Nunes has numerous connections to the Trump campaign and the Trump administration. He helped fundraise for Trump during the summer of 2016. (A Fresno Bee article about the fundraiser can be found here.) He was appointed a member of the transition team in November 2016. He worked closely with Michael Flynn during the transition.
http://www.latimes.com/politics/essential/la-pol-ca-essential-politics-updates-rep-devin-nunes-named-to-trump-s-1478893307-htmlstory.html

Nunes attended a breakfast meeting in January 2017, the day before the Inauguration, that Michael Flynn, then the incoming national security adviser, and Mevlut Cavusoglu, the Turkish foreign minister, also attended.

The article from Business Insider describing the breakfast meeting can be found here.
http://www.businessinsider.com/devin-nunes-michael-flynn-turkey-russia-2017-11

A Forbes article about Michael Flynn’s ties to Turkey can be found here.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/charlestiefer/2017/11/10/mueller-investigation-of-flynn-crimes-as-to-turkey-could-produce-a-second-papadopolous/#680825194c0b

A March 31, 2017 article from The Guardian, a British newspaper, describes the apparent loyalty Nunes exhibits for Flynn
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/mar/31/devin-nunes-michael-flynn-trump-russia

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Representative Devin Nunes Is Part Owner of Winery Named in Lawsuit Alleging Human Trafficking

2/11/2018

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​According to WineBusiness.com, a wine industry online journal, a former Napa Valley winery employee alleged in a lawsuit  that in August 2015 she was assigned to work on a company yacht where men had sex with call girls while the group cruised the San Francisco Bay.

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Court records show that the lawsuit was filed in March for civil rights violations, intentional infliction of emotional distress, sexual harassment, retaliation and other allegations.

The former employee filed the lawsuit in March for civil rights violations, intentional infliction of emotional distress, sexual harassment, retaliation and other allegations.
The case was dismissed November 30, 2016. Court documents can be found here.
https://www.winebusiness.com/news/?go=getArticle&dataid=176634

An email from Alpha Omega spokeswoman Kelly Carter to Snopes stated that Nunes is an investor in the winery.

“The only time Alpha Omega did business in Russia was in 2013 when a broker handled a one-time transaction for 22 cases of wine.

“Rep. Devin Nunes is one of a few friends Alpha Omega managing partner Robin Baggett invited to invest in the winery in 2005. None of the investors has ever been involved with the management of the company.  Robin is the sole managing partner and ultimate decision maker at Alpha Omega.   Robin has made a point to never mix politics with the business of Alpha Omega. Our business model is simple: grow great grapes, make great wine, hire great people and provide our customers with a great experience.”


The article from Snopes can be found here.
https://www.snopes.com/devin-nunes-wine-russia/

An article from Town & Country about Nunes’s winery and Trump winery connections can be found here.
http://www.townandcountrymag.com/society/politics/a9278165/devin-nunes-winery/

An article from Palmer Report explains that Alpha Omega Winery does business with a Russian company with ties to President Vladimir Putin.
http://www.palmerreport.com/news/russia-devin-nunes-donald-trump/2019/

A link to the Alpha Omega Winery company website can be found here.
http://www.aowinery.com/
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According to a Los Angeles Times list compiled by Roll Call based on annual financial dissclosures,  Representative Nunes is ranked as the 383rd wealthiest member of Congress, with a net worth of $51,000. 

The article can be found here.
http://static.latimes.com/how-much-are-they-worth/


A screen capture of the Nunes data can be found below.

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Nunes Memo Undercuts GOP Arguments About Bias in the FBI

2/2/2018

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National Public Radio reported today:

“A memo alleging the FBI abused its surveillance authority became public on Friday after a push by House Republicans. President Trump authorized the memo's release, even after the FBI expressed "grave concerns" about the ‘accuracy’ of the document, authored by House intelligence Chairman Devin Nunes, R-Calif.”

NPR release the text of the memo with annotations from their Justice Department, national security, and White House reporters.

The annotated text can be found here.
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https://www.npr.org/2018/02/02/582828461/fact-check-read-the-gop-memo-released-by-house-intelligence-committee

Some Republicans have argued that the FBI’s investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election and the Trump campaign’s ties to Russian government operatives is based solely on the so-called “Steele dossier,” a set of field documents created by Christopher Steele, retired head of the Russia desk in Great Britain’s intelligence service, MI6.

According to an NPR story from today’s “All Things Considered” program, the memo undercuts that argument.

“Instead, it says, overtures by Russian operatives to a junior campaign adviser are what sparked the FBI's counterintelligence investigation. George Papadopoulos — who has pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI about those contacts — ‘triggered’ the opening of the investigation, the memo says.”

Papadopoulos pleaded guilty in October 2017 of lying to the FBI about his contacts with agents of the Russian government.

The “All Things Considered” story can be found here.
https://www.npr.org/2018/02/02/582713363/memo-russian-overtures-to-trump-aide-triggered-fbi-investigation

While some GOP lawmakers have asserted that the FBI’s interest in Trump campaign aide Carter Page began with the Steele dossier, it is important to note the Page was a focus of FBI attention at least as far back as 2013, when Russian agents in the United States attempted to recruit him for their government.


A federal Intelligence Surveillance Court granted the FBI a surveillance warrant on Page in October 2016. Three 90-day extensions were granted.
Five senior Justice Department and FBI officials signed off on the three requests for extensions. The memo released today states that all the requests for extension were approved by a federal judge. This would not have occurred unless the warrant was yielding information useful to counterintelligence or a criminal investigation.


A
Washington Post article explains the issues surrounding the FBI surveillance of Carter Page.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/memo-points-to-fbis-ongoing-interest-in-trump-adviser-carter-page/2018/02/02/89bfdee2-077c-11e8-8777-2a059f168dd2_story.html?utm_term=.eeb1adfeedba
 


Photo source: Reuters/Jonathan Ernst
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